In the opinion piece below, originally published in Al Jazeera, Jason Hickel and Dylan Sullivan argue that Western hostility towards China is not driven by serious concerns over China’s putative threat to the “international rules-based order” but rather by its very real challenge to the imperial economic order. Over the past two decades, US policy has shifted from cooperation to confrontation, with sanctions, trade restrictions and military build-up. The authors write: “Washington wants people to believe that China poses a threat. China’s rise indeed threatens US interests, but not in the way the US political elite seeks to frame it.”
The article situates US-China tensions in the framework of the capitalist world system, where the core imperialist states rely on cheap labour and resources from the Global South. For decades, China provided low-cost but skilled labour for Western supply chains. However, wages in China have risen from under $1 an hour in the early 2000s to over $8 today, undermining Western firms’ profits and reducing the West’s ability to extract value through unequal exchange. Strengthened public services and state intervention over the last two decades have further empowered Chinese workers.
At the same time, China is putting an end to the West’s monopoly in advanced technology, and now leads in sectors like renewable energy, electric vehicles, AI, and high-speed rail. This gives developing countries alternative suppliers and threatens the West’s strategy of maintaining dependency. The authors observe that this “poses a fundamental challenge to the imperial arrangement.”
Beijing has used industrial policy to prioritise technological development in strategic sectors over the past decade, and has achieved remarkable progress. It now has the world’s largest high-speed rail network, manufactures its own commercial aircraft, leads the world on renewable energy technology and electric vehicles, and enjoys advanced medical technology, smartphone technology, microchip production, artificial intelligence, etc. The tech news coming out of China has been dizzying. These are achievements that we only expect from high-income countries, and China is doing it with almost 80 percent less GDP per capita than the average “advanced economy”. It is unprecedented.
This poses a problem for the core states because one of the main pillars of the imperial arrangement is that they need to maintain a monopoly over necessary technologies like capital goods, medicines, computers, aircraft and so on. This forces the “Global South” into a position of dependency, so they are forced to export large quantities of their cheapened resources in order to obtain these necessary technologies. This is what sustains the core’s net-appropriation through unequal exchange.
China’s technological development is now breaking Western monopolies, and may give other developing countries alternative suppliers for necessary goods at more affordable prices. This poses a fundamental challenge to the imperial arrangement and unequal exchange.
In response, the US has turned to sanctions and escalating military rhetoric, presenting China as a threat to global security. But this is transparent propaganda.
The material facts tell a fundamentally different story. In fact, China’s military spending per capita is less than the global average, and 1/10th that of the US alone. Yes, China has a big population, but even in absolute terms, the US-aligned military bloc spends over seven times more on military power than China does. The US controls eight nuclear weapons for every one that China has…
Furthermore, China has not fired a single bullet in international warfare in over 40 years, while during this time the US has invaded, bombed or carried out regime-change operations in over a dozen Global South countries. If there is any state that poses a known threat to world peace and security, it is the US.
The authors conclude that the real reason for Western warmongering is that “China is achieving sovereign development and this is undermining the imperial arrangement on which Western capital accumulation depends”. That is, China’s rise, its alignment with the countries of the Global South and its promotion of multipolarity are posing an existential threat to the imperialist world system.
Over the past two decades, the posture of the United States towards China has evolved from economic cooperation to outright antagonism. US media outlets and politicians have engaged in persistent anti-China rhetoric, while the US government has imposed trade restrictions and sanctions on China and pursued military build-up close to Chinese territory. Washington wants people to believe that China poses a threat.
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